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Is there a wider State issue here?

In the second half of the 20th century regional Australia went through significant structural adjustment. Farms depopulated as agricultural productivity increased with new crops, machinery and technologies and economies of scale. Better roads and better cars resulted in larger, more dispersed regional service towns offering lower costs due to economies of scale. Towns with over 30,000 inhabitants are still growing rapidly, while many villages, once servicing a larger on-farm population, who had typically reached them by horse or push-bike, ceased to be viable.  The previous small service centres either turned to cute country tourism or ceased to exist. 

In this century the full impact of electronic communications, including the National Broadband Network, on population distribution and increasing urbanisation is yet to become fully evident.   Some think it may reverse or slow the trend to centralised services with remote working, while others see it accelerating this trend with pockets of specialisation, that requires actual human interaction, evolving.  

This could mean that State boundaries become even more inappropriate than they were in the 19th century when they were laid down, largely due to accidents of history and the British colonial love of lines on a map.  Who, in their right mind, would put a state boundary down a meandering, unstable river bank, that not only moves but splits every river based conurbation in two?  Who would use arbitrary parallels of latitude or longitude, that cut straight across natural ridges and water catchments?  

These already inappropriately chosen boundaries resulted, at Federation in 1901, in what are essentially arbitrary geographical areas, getting equal Senate representation. Thus the smaller states acquired disproportionate political clout at the Federal level.  The principal problem was Tasmania, the smallest state and the only one that has anything resembling logical boundaries.  Its access to a hundred and twelve years of disproportionately high Federal succour has resulted in a population that is simultaneously industrially-averse; boasts the lowest level of educational achievement; and has the highest unemployment rate in the country.

The founding fathers recognised this democratic imbalance and the inappropriate boundaries.  As a potential solution they included the facility to split the larger states into more Tasmania-sized electorates.  A whole chapter, Chapter VI, of the Australian Constitution provides for the establishment or admission of new states (partly aimed at New Zealand, that ultimately declined to join the Federation). Section 122 allows the Parliament to provide for the representation in Parliament of any territory surrendered by the States. Section 123 requires that changing the boundaries of a State requires the consent of the Parliament of that State and approval by referendum in that State.

Thus both Victoria and NSW could be split into smaller States, with Queensland and WA to follow as they grow larger. But given the power relationships set elsewhere in the Constitution and an increase in the number of Senators form each state, this quickly became a political impossibility.  We probably just have to recognise the problem and find ways to live with it.

As a result of its disproportionate influence in Canberra, due an arbitrary 19th century geographical allocation, formulated by someone with a map, pencil and rule in England, South Australia has also become more heavily dependent on the general Australian taxpayer, through: direct borrowings; subsidised business; welfare transfers; and defence spending, than any other state except Tasmania.  Thus it has less capacity to absorb the impact of automotive closures than Victoria, without temporary economic harm.  

Due to labour immobility, there are always temporary local impacts when a significant local employer closes.  Fortunately Australia has one of most mobile labour forces in the world. Workers in South Australia may need to be helped with retraining and/or relocation to a job in another state.  But on the whole, reducing transfer payments to the mendicant states is likely to result in overall productivity improvements, possibly at the expense of population decline.  Then the whole country will be better off.

 

 

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Travel

Laos

 

 

The Lao People's Democratic Republic is a communist country, like China to the North and Vietnam with which it shares its Eastern border. 

And like the bordering communist countries, the government has embraced limited private ownership and free market capitalism, in theory.  But there remain powerful vested interests, and residual pockets of political power, particularly in the agricultural sector, and corruption is a significant issue. 

During the past decade tourism has become an important source of income and is now generating around a third of the Nation's domestic product.  Tourism is centred on Luang Prabang and to a lesser extent the Plane of Jars and the capital, Vientiane.

Read more: Laos

Fiction, Recollections & News

The Book of Mormon

 

 

 

 

Back in the mid 1960's when I was at university and still living at home with my parents in Thornleigh, two dark suited, white shirted, dark tied, earnest young men, fresh from the United States, appeared at our door.

Having discovered that they weren't from IBM my mother was all for shooing them away.  But I was taking an interest in philosophy and psychology and here were two interesting examples of religious fervour.

As I often have with similar missionaries (see: Daniel, the Jehovah’s Witness in Easter on this Website), I invited them in and they were very pleased to tell me about their book.  I remember them poised on the front of our couch, not daring or willing to sit back in comfort, as they eagerly told me about their revelation.  

And so it came to pass that a week ago when we travelled to Melbourne to stay with my step-son Lachlan and his family and to see the musical: The Book of Mormon I was immediately taken back to 1964.

Read more: The Book of Mormon

Opinions and Philosophy

Population and Climate Change – An update

 

 

Climate

 

I originally wrote the paper, Issues Arising from the Greenhouse Hypothesis, in 1990 and do not see a need to revise it substantially.  Some of the science is better defined and there have been some minor changes in some of the projections; but otherwise little has changed.

In the Introduction to the 2006 update to that paper I wrote:

Climate change has wide ranging implications...  ranging from its impacts on agriculture (through drought, floods, water availability, land degradation and carbon credits) mining (by limiting markets for coal and minerals processing) manufacturing and transport (through energy costs) to property damage resulting from storms.

The issues are complex, ranging from disputes about the impact of human activities on global warming, to arguments about what should be done and the consequences of the various actions proposed.

Read more: Population and Climate Change – An update

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