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Time to fix things

 

 

 

Some of the more dire outcomes of A Crude Awakening are further into the future than suggested and this provides time for technology and knowledge to provide solutions, something it often does very quickly.

If population is controlled and new technologies (like fusion and solar are developed) we may need to have no concerns for our children and grandchildren.  They will certainly see a lot of changes but then so have we.

Change is the spice of life, and in economic terms, change equals consumption and consumption equals production and that is the measure of the economy.   It is just that the means of providing the energy required will need to change.

Rather than destroying the economy, rebuilding a submerged or cyclone ravaged city or moving farming elsewhere stimulates economic activity.  On one hand some people may be financially injured but on the other hand people will be financially advantaged elsewhere and a bit of wealth, and hence power, redistribution is stimulating in itself.

Possibly some cities may be inundated, and people will continue to be upset by cyclones or drought or flood, some people may have to move off the land or onto the land or from the suburbs into high density accommodation, some people may even have to change their holiday or trip to work habits but all of these are just elements in a world of change. 

On a planet that is still geologically unstable, with a sun that varies in temperature and with planetary and galactic orbits that are not circular, and that as a consequence, is periodically visited by ice ages and temperatures much higher than at present, there can be no status quo, no lasting stability.  When the same planet is suddenly inflicted with one species that for most of its existence has not exceeded half a billion but is suddenly heading for nine billion and rapidly destroying the natural balance in the process, change will happen no matter what we do about energy. 

In conclusion, A Crude Awakening makes some very pertinent points.  In particular the world is about to change and this change is unavoidable.  But overall, the message of A Crude Awakening is just too bleak.   The main weakness though is that it fails to make the most important point strongly enough – we must first contain, and then reduce, world population.

 

 

 


Footnotes: 


 

 

[1] Source ABARE  - http://www.abareconomics.com/interactive/energy_dec06/htm/tables.htm

[2] ‘My work involved […] in winter time lighting the ‘kosi’ coke heater and trying to keep it alight, cleaning the ‘kosi’ out and putting the ash into a garden bed. In addition, when sufficient cream had been collected from the cows’ milk, I had to make the cream into butter and being allowed to only use a fork to whisk the cream. This work took hours to do and made your arm very sore.’  Senate Inquiry Into Children in Institutional Care  Submission: Mr. Ralph Doughty

[3] Source ABARE  - http://www.abareconomics.com/interactive/energy_dec06/htm/tables.htm

 

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Travel

Europe 2022 - Part 2

 

 

 

In July and August 2022 Wendy and I travelled to Europe and to the United Kingdom (no longer in Europe - at least politically).

This, our first European trip since the Covid-19 pandemic, began in Berlin to visit my daughter Emily, her Partner Guido, and their children, Leander and Tilda, our grandchildren there.

Part 1 of this report touched on places in Germany then on a Baltic Cruise, landing in: Denmark, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Sweden and the Netherlands. Read more...

Now, Part 2 takes place in northern France. Part 3, yet to come, takes place in England and Scotland.

Read more: Europe 2022 - Part 2

Fiction, Recollections & News

ChatGPT and The Craft

As another test of ChatGPT I asked it: "in 2 thousand words, to write a fiction about a modern-day witch who uses chemistry and female charms to enslave her familiars". This is one of the motifs in my novella: The Craft (along with: the great famine; world government; cyber security and overarching artificial intelligence).

Rather alarmingly, two of five ChatGPT offerings, each taking around 22 seconds to generate, came quite close to the sub-plot, although I'm not keen on the style or moralistic endings.  Here they are:

Read more: ChatGPT and The Craft

Opinions and Philosophy

Bertrand Russell

 

 

 

Bertrand Russell (Bertrand Arthur William Russell, 3rd Earl Russell, OM, FRS (18 May 1872 – 2 February 1970)) has been a major influence on my life.  I asked for and was given a copy of his collected Basic Writings of Bertrand Russell for my 21st birthday and although I never agreed entirely with every one of his opinions I have always respected them.

In 1950 Russell won the Nobel Prize in literature but remained a controversial figure.  He was responsible for the Russell–Einstein Manifesto in 1955. The signatories included Albert Einstein, just before his death, and ten other eminent intellectuals and scientists. They warned of the dangers of nuclear weapons and called on governments to find alternative ways of resolving conflict.   Russell went on to become the first president of the campaign for nuclear disarmament (CND) and subsequently organised opposition to the Vietnam War. He could be seen in 50's news-reels at the head of CND demonstrations with his long divorced second wife Dora, for which he was jailed again at the age of 89.  

In 1958 Gerald Holtom, created a logo for the movement by stylising, superimposing and circling the semaphore letters ND.

Some four years earlier I'd gained my semaphore badge in the Cubs, so like many children of my vintage, I already knew that:  = N(uclear)   = D(isarmament)

The logo soon became ubiquitous, graphitied onto walls and pavements, and widely used as a peace symbol in the 60s and 70s, particularly in hippie communes and crudely painted on VW camper-vans.

 

 (otherwise known as the phallic Mercedes).

 

Read more: Bertrand Russell

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