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Chapter 6 - Zaire

 

Zaire's upset. Her 'friend' Willow has left a message with her VPA to tell her that she looked like a troll with today's haircut. But what's worse she'd deliberately vidied her in a bad light to make it look gross. Then she posted it in The Cloud to 3,000 of her most intimate friends. The girl's a bitch.

She knows the reason. Willow's been hanging around flirting with Starfighter when she knows perfectly well that he's been her boyfriend for months.

Anyway, what was she saying? Oh yes: "Is everyone going to the concert this evening?  It is Friday."

If she's going, she'll need to get some Helos. "The band is fantastic but you have to be high to appreciate them and get into the vibe," she told Tiger-lily.

There are huge numbers of concerts featuring what to a non-Bogan seems to be a bewildering range of music styles. These come and go and are revived. But like clothes and hairstyles it's social death to be a fan of an old one for too long.

Most require their fans to be on drugs to fully appreciate them.

Synthetic drugs are very popular but are not strictly legal. Provided they pass the 'pill tests' that venue owners and concert promoters apply to avoid serious injury, no one will stop you. Like total body scanning toilets and other dubious or semi-legal goods, they are manufactured in mysterious places by entrepreneurial Busies making fast credit.

Law enforcement bots within The Cloud obviously, have no difficulty finding the culprits and will occasionally prosecute them. But it's a grey area. The goal of the law is to maximise global happiness so that the harm that might be done by a published law being broken is balanced against the enjoyment people seem to derive from breaking that law. The law's existence simply provides grounds for prosecution when the happiness equation yields a negative result.

Thus, under The Golden Algorithm the harm caused by a few people becoming unwillingly addicted is a small price to pay for the enjoyment so many get from the drugs and the thrill they derive from breaking the published law.

The illicit manufacturers know that they will be arrested very rapidly if someone gets killed and as a consequence their loved ones and associates are made extremely unhappy. So, they take great care with their formulations.

Similarly, illicit data collection mechanisms optimise the personalisation of goods and services to the great mass of the population. So, they are tolerated, as long as the happiness they deliver outweighs the harm.

***

Zaire goes to work for a full twenty-hour week and loves it. She gets good credit and likes to shop 'til she drops. She's just returned from overseas and that's when Willow made the move on her boyfriend.

Her job is organising media relations for a company selling travel services.    

At her job interview, the panel was amazed when a Bogan girl announced that: "Product differentiation is essential to success. Resorts all need to have a point of distinction and they all rely on advertising."

They really wanted to hire a Grad, like themselves. HR had put her in because of the employment equity policy. The panel members were suspicious that her answer was something that she had learned by rote. But who might have coached her? In the end the other candidates had no concept of what a Bogan resort could be like, whereas Zaire had been to over a dozen with her family and could even describe their relative profitability and how one was better managed than the rest.

So, they called her back and asked her what she knew about 'economics', thinking that she wouldn't know what they were talking about.

"Oh, I'm not a brainiac. So, I have a favourite site that simplifies the concepts for me. It's called The Economist," she announced.

She then went on to explain that recreational services were a large part of the post-Famine world economy. Almost everyone will visit a Bogan resort at some time and many spend much of their life going from one resort to another. But this depends on advertising and it depends on the World's second largest economic sector Entertainment. For example, product placement in the plethora of celebrity chat shows that pass as news, the many elimination shows from cooking to fashion to dating, reality and talent shows and of course, over five thousand sporting codes, each with their own fan base and sports site on MV.

"So, what's the biggest economic sector?" one asked suspiciously, still disbelieving that a Bogan would know such things unless coached to recite these passages for the interview.

"That's easy," Zaire replied. "Recycling. It encompasses the processing of our garbage and all those things we no longer want because they are out of fashion. But many people don't realise that all those old towns and city buildings that are demolished are also recycled, the land remediated and often returned to wilderness."

"Anything else?"

"Well obviously, cadavers and weapons were a big challenge during and after the Famine. But now much of that recycling effort can be directed to old garbage tips; and so on; that can be mined for useful materials. It's interesting what they just buried when they could mine new stuff without a non-renewable penalty isn't it?"

"We're amazed that you have been interested enough to find out," said another. Isn't that a bit odd for a Bogan?"

"I suppose I am a bit odd compared to my friends. It's just that I'm curious about the world; like how do things work and what motivates people. It's all there in The Cloud, you don't have to be a genius or anything to find out."

"You are certainly a well-informed young woman," said the third, smiling. "And as an attractive physical appearance is a required job criterion, I can safely say, beautiful too."  They were all smiling.

She got the job.

***

Now Zaire gets to go to lots of new places and stay in six-star hotels with the hosts of MV travel shows. Hotels and resorts love the company she works for because they can pull in the media and the media hosts love the hotels and resorts that the company represents.

Everyone seems to love everyone.

Well, that's not quite true; many 'personalities' are hard to deal with and almost all demand or expect additional favours.

If all they want is little bit of extra credit it's easy but some might want to meet a celebrity; want drugs; or a favour of a more intimate kind. She has been learning to listen to the hints they drop and to what others say about their preferences.

Zaire has been doing well because until now she's had a sixth sense about what favour which one wants. She's become very good at hunting down the appropriate person, place or thing to satisfy all concerned and thus ensure a glowing MV endorsement for the client hotel, resort or attraction.

But now the concert will have to wait. Her boss has called. Zaire's made a terrible mistake. She misunderstood the intentions and sexual preferences of Aden Hitch, the male anchor of the top rating morning MV show.

At the Command Resort, Phuket she arranged for a 'lady-boy' to go to his suite as a special favour. But what her boss tells her is he'd actually been demanding, in a round-about way was that she do the honours.

This was a common demand. If she'd realised that was the favour he wanted, she would have handled it in her usual way.

"It's like diverting a toddler who is determined to get his hands on fragile figurine," she told Willow. "All you have to do is dangle something less breakable and more colourful. There is always a more attractive toy around, if only because it’s more easily available."

Then she'd thought: "Maybe Willow would like to meet a famous media person?"

But this favour was poorly chosen and the distraction would go unnoticed. He'd apparently had a bit to drink and probably a Helo or two. In the dimmed lighting it took longer than usual to discover the difference. He told Zaire's boss that he had not wanted any favour. And to have this one foisted on him was a huge insult to his manhood. He told her that the Resort was going to suffer his acid tongue on Monday morning unless that girl is gone.

She has just over two days and needs help and fast. Think! The lady-boy reminded her of that Grad girl they'd been 'winding up' at the Mall.

"For all her supposed brains and sophistication, she imagined that she looked like a normal person. She was like a scarecrow in that ridiculous week-old outfit and fake tattoos."

Then she thought:

"There are so few Grads in town I bet I could find her in The Cloud. We all vidied her, she was so funny."

***

If there is one thing Bogan girls can do, from the time they can use a screen: it's find a new friend in The Cloud. It took Zaire less than half an hour to identify and locate Bianca. As she suspected Bianca lived in that old part of town where ugly old buildings had actually been renovated rather than demolished and built afresh. Grads liked these places for some inexplicable reason. She'd never been in one but she'd been told that they are 'furnished' with old stuff, some of it many years old, like handmade rugs from before the Famine, and many get by with less than a hundred and fifty square metres of living space per person.

Since the Famine the houses and apartment blocks are more spread out as a result of demolitions and are now set in parkland. There are still frequent subway stations, particularly in the inner city. The pre-famine subway network has of course, been upgraded and the express lines are a lot faster. But because most time is still spent in the stations, catching the local train with all the stopping and starting can still be tiresome, despite the same personalised on-board entertainment and local climate control at each seat.

Zaire consulted her VPA, Pip, who told her the fastest route would be express subway for the first 35 kilometres, taking about 10 minutes, then change to a local, another 10 minutes just for the transfer and to go the final five kilometres to Bianca's stop, then another 10 minutes’ walk through a park.

Some people still preferred a road vehicle but Zaire is not sure why. Like the subways, the roads are excellent because of the priority for local government consumption spending on infrastructure but almost all vehicles are robotic and driverless and dedicated to goods delivery. Negotiating a path through them requires some sophisticated navigation by your vehicle's computer and around the city taking manual control is incredibly dangerous and prohibited. In the city all parking is hidden, usually underground, and it's mostly limited to residents and their guests. Public parking stations might be a kilometre from your destination. Then there is the weather, it might pour down, and then everything has to slow to less than the standard highway lower limit of 200 km/hr, which at least breaks the monotony of travelling among trucks between sound walls for kilometres on end.

Although she has bought many and keeps them for a few months until a more fashionable model becomes available, Zaire seldom uses her ground car to go to the city because she usually finds that sitting in a quiet, comfortable subway carriage with a few dozen other passengers for 20 minutes much to be preferred and it avoids those depressing underground car-parks and the higher expenditure of credit involved for casual parking at some distant car-park. Needless to say, it’s not possible to manually stop or park on a carriageway anywhere in an urban area.

The alternative is her own hover-fliver or to take a hover-cab. But they're slow by comparison to the subway or driving and she would have to contact Bianca to get permission to use her landing pad, assuming she even has one.

So, obviously, Zaire would accept Pip's advice and take the subway.

When she arrived, Pip directed her thought the park. It was all up and down with winding paths. This was more like a forest than a park. It seemed to be almost wild until she saw a robotic gardener mowing a grass area. Zaire was horrified. Gardening is one of many well-paid Bogan professions, like hairdressing. Many take great pride in the placement of every leaf and petal in large ornamental gardens that regularly change shape and have huge changing displays of different seasonal blooms. Then she decided that this part of town is so alien to Bogans that no one would want to work here, where would they shop?

Some plants looked like they had been here since the Famine. Then she saw a person with an old digging implement. They, she couldn't determine the sex from the clothes or the disreputable straw hat, were dressed like a tramp. Could this be a gardener with no personal pride, who was somehow unaware, of the latest fashion in gardening clothes?

The tramp digging in the forest was not the weirdest thing. When she emerged from the 'park' she saw people in the street wearing ancient clothes in strange fabrics of no discernible design, generally of just one or two colours or even grey. Don't they know that this week's style would make Elizabethans look drab?  But by far the weirdest thing was the old buildings, some of them many stories high. She knew about them of course, but that didn't fully prepare her for the reality that people actually lived in these places. It must be amazingly unhygienic to be surrounded by all this old stuff.

Bianca apparently lived in one of the towers. It was then that Zaire realised what the '20A' before her address must mean. Extraordinary!

 

 

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Travel

South Korea & China

March 2016

 

 

South Korea

 

 

I hadn't written up our trip to South Korea (in March 2016) but Google Pictures gratuitously put an album together from my Cloud library so I was motivated to add a few words and put it up on my Website.  Normally I would use selected images to illustrate observations about a place visited.  This is the other way about, with a lot of images that I may not have otherwise chosen.  It requires you to go to the link below if you want to see pictures. You may find some of the images interesting and want to by-pass others quickly. Your choice. In addition to the album, Google generated a short movie in an 8mm style - complete with dust flecks. You can see this by clicking the last frame, at the bottom of the album.

A few days in Seoul were followed by travels around the country, helpfully illustrated in the album by Google generated maps: a picture is worth a thousand words; ending back in Seoul before spending a few days in China on the way home to OZ. 

Read more: South Korea & China

Fiction, Recollections & News

The Meaning of Death

 

 

 

 

 

 

'I was recently restored to life after being dead for several hours' 

The truth of this statement depends on the changing and surprisingly imprecise meaning of the word: 'dead'. 

Until the middle of last century a medical person may well have declared me dead.  I was definitely dead by the rules of the day.  I lacked most of the essential 'vital signs' of a living person and the technology that sustained me in their absence was not yet perfected. 

I was no longer breathing; I had no heartbeat; I was limp and unconscious; and I failed to respond to stimuli, like being cut open (as in a post mortem examination) and having my heart sliced into.  Until the middle of the 20th century the next course would have been to call an undertaker; say some comforting words then dispose of my corpse: perhaps at sea if I was travelling (that might be nice); or it in a box in the ground; or by feeding my low-ash coffin into a furnace then collect the dust to deposit or scatter somewhere.

But today we set little store by a pulse or breathing as arbiters of life.  No more listening for a heartbeat or holding a feather to the nose. Now we need to know about the state of the brain and central nervous system.  According to the BMA: '{death} is generally taken to mean the irreversible loss of capacity for consciousness combined with the irreversible loss of capacity to breathe'.  In other words, returning from death depends on the potential of our brain and central nervous system to recover from whatever trauma or disease assails us.

Read more: The Meaning of Death

Opinions and Philosophy

Electricity Woes

 

Recently, the National Electricity Market in Eastern Australia had to be temporarily suspended due to a shortfall in generation.

Now, the new Federal Government, that came to power on a promise to substantially cut power bills, has had to concede, that instead, there will be substantial price increases.

In part, they are blaming the war in the Ukraine; the consequent sanctions against Russia; and Russian retaliation.

During the election campaign the Shadow Minister for Climate Change and Energy repeatedly asserted that the solution lay in increased wind and solar generated electricity, that he also repeatedly asserted were cheaper than fossil-fuel generated electricity. 

Yet, now the solution is said to lie in 'temporary' price caps on the spot-price of steaming coal and gas (mainly methane).  

An observer from another planet might ask: why the global demand for steaming coal and gas is still rising (and with it their price) when wind and solar are, allegedly, so much cheaper? 

Meanwhile, last July (2022) Wendy and I had occasion to visit the town of Rønne on the small Danish island of Bornholm. There on the quayside were a dozen huge wind-turbine nacelles.

As I had some spare time on my hands, I looked on-line and discovered that they were Vestas V174-9.5 MW units for installation off the coast of Germany, for either the Baltic Eagle or Arcadis Ost 1 project. I compared the published project costs with those of other large scale energy projects around the world.

You can read my analysis here (Europe 2022 - Part 1 - An Energetic Diversion). 

Suffice it to say, that wind-generated electricity is not price-competitive with modern fossil generated electricity - it's just a lot cleaner.

Most importantly: nor is off-shore wind anywhere near price-competitive with the latest nuclear generated electricity (on a dollar per unit of installed capacity basis), as nuclear power has a similar cost per Watt of capacity but doesn't require additional batteries or pump-storage to satisfy fluctuating demand.

The present situation on the east coast of Australia may (or may not) have been aggravated by the war in the Ukraine.  Yet, the short-fall was entirely predictable, over a decade ago, and  it will not go away when the war ends.

In anticipation, back in 2012, I called for a 'root and branch' reappraisal of the combined impact of the Renewable Energy Target scheme, in the context of the operations of the National Electricity Market (NEM):

 

2012

"The present government interventions in electricity markets, intended to move the industry from coal to renewable energy sources, are responsible for most of the rapidly rising cost of electricity in Australia.  These interventions have introduced unanticipated distortions and inefficiencies in the way that electricity is delivered.

Industry experts point to looming problems in supply and even higher price increases.

A 'root and branch' review of these mechanisms is urgently required to prevent ever increasing prices and to prevent further potentially crippling distortions."

Read more: Electricity Pricing

 

I asserted that together these were making essential base load generators unprofitable and may lead to brownouts and blackouts in the future:

2012

"Now, in addition, rooftop photo-voltaic (PV) solar is beginning to add power to local distribution grids in mid-summer, when the market price is at its maximum and thermal stations have previously been assured of a profit.  Again the retailer pays for STC’s that subsidise the price of solar.

While again we might applaud the lowering of the peak market price and the reduction of peak grid currents at this time, we will not be so pleased if failure to invest in new generation capacity results in even higher prices; and future brownouts and blackouts.

While at first sight there appears to be a well established competitive generation market, the renewable energy targets and the associated certificates (paid for by our retailer and appearing in our bill) may be having an increasingly adverse effect on future investment decisions; with potentially disastrous outcomes ‘down the track’."

Read more: Electricity Pricing - The cost of energy sources

 

The article was written at a time when an ill-conceived Carbon Tax, that only targeted particular industries and in some cases individual businesses, was severely distorting the energy marketplace even further. 

A year earlier I had objected to the Gillard Government's short lived Carbon Tax on these grounds:

2011

"Well, the Gillard government has done it; they have announced the long awaited price on carbon...

Accusations of lying and broken promises aside, the problem of using a tax rather than the earlier proposed cap-and-trade mechanism is devising a means by which the revenue raised will be returned to stimulate investment in new non-carbon based energy.

Taxation always boils down to 'robbing Peter to pay Paul'. In this case the Government knows who Peter is but they apparently have no idea, or too many, about Paul.

It is the very definition of administrative inefficiency to rob Peter to pay Peter. Thus any tax that requires offsetting payments to those taxed is poorly designed; administratively cumbersome and likely to be extremely inefficient; a bad tax."

Read more: Australia's carbon tax

 

The Carbon Tax has gone but not the underlying problem remains: traditional coal fired power stations - upon which we will still need to rely for at least another decade - cannot remain viable as long as they are continually gazumped in the NEM by cross- subsidised renewable electricity generators.

This cross-subsidy, is in the form of Large-scale Generation Certificates (LGC's), paid for by electricity retailers (in other words: you). Each MWh of renewable energy supplied receives this cross-subsidy (effectively at the expense of other generators). It applies irrespective of the rapidly fluctuating (NEM) market price for that electricity (energy), that from time-to-time is very low or negative, due to ample wind or sunlight and low consumer demand.

By this means, renewable electricity, including rooftop solar, has been given a 'leg-up', in order to meet the Australian Government's Renewable Energy Targets.

When governments intervene in markets it always has consequences. Such an intervention maybe necessary in the long-term public interest, for example due to externalities, like the environment, or international responsibilities. Yet, then it is beholden on Government to put in place accompanying means of mitigating the inevitable negative consequences. 

In this case the negative consequences of Renewable Energy Targets on base-load electricity generation have been well known for well over a decade but nothing has been done in mitigation.

Possible mitigations might include:

  • an off-market base-load generation reservation and/or, perhaps;
  • ineligibility of all Renewable Energy Certificates (small and large scale) for energy supplied when supply exceeds demand.

Comprehensive modelling of these and other possible interventions, such as a targeted subsidy, is now essential to determine the best transition path to a secure electricity future.

A 'root and branch' review is long over-due.

 ___

 

If only...

'If onlys' are a bit pointless, yet I'll say it again: Had we embarked on building just three nuclear power-stations similar to the Cruas Nuclear Power Station in France, two or three decades ago (read more...), we could already be 'clean and green' and not in the predicament we now find ourselves in today. 

Instead, we find ourselves paying for Snowy 2.0 that will be: more expensive; more environmentally damaging; and totally inadequate to make a significant difference (see: Pumped-Storage Hydropower (PSH). Read more....

But that's all water over the dam now.

 

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