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Other Climatic Concerns

 

As indicated at the outset the climate of the planet is determined by the interplay of a large number of factors. Present generation computer simulations do not take all of these factors into account and, like all encompassing economic models, have very little predictive accuracy. It is therefore possible that climate changes due to human activity might be for the better, offsetting some otherwise negative natural change.

Climate change has the potential to affect our ability to grow food through flood or drought, to destroy productive land through wind, water, ice or salt build-up and to cause increasing levels of extinction of plants and animals. Ocean warming and higher sea levels, due to expansion and ice melting, result in the inundation of coastal areas and low islands.  The opposite effects may result if the Earth becomes colder. 

Governments need to develop strategies for dealing with the effects of climate change.  Like all disaster plans these need to consider all the reasonable short and medium term contingencies but to leave longer-term considerations to future generations. 

For example if there is a reasonable expectation of higher sea levels within a few years, local planning should prohibit further development in areas subject to potential inundation. Similarly a reasonable expectation of higher levels of storm damage may require building codes to be revisited the storm proofing of emergency services and communications and that some areas of high exposure are avoided.  A large number of such contingencies (100 year floods, dam safety, bridge design and so on) could be drawn up.

Of particular concern to NSW is the impact of more or less rainfall across the State.  More consistent rain in the northern or western parts of the State could be beneficial to agriculture but if this has higher variability it could have negative impact without management.  Greater water use may increase salination and increased land degradation.  Rainfall change may require tree planting or other interventions to correct for rapid climatic change.  Conversely, if Central NSW becomes dryer water management will become even more critical.

 

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Travel

Ireland

 

 

 

 

In October 2018 we travelled to Ireland. Later we would go on to England (the south coast and London) before travelling overland (and underwater) by rail to Belgium and then on to Berlin to visit our grandchildren there. 

The island of Ireland is not very big, about a quarter as large again as Tasmania, with a population not much bigger than Sydney (4.75 million in the Republic of Ireland with another 1.85 million in Northern Ireland).  So it's mainly rural and not very densely populated. 

It was unusually warm for October in Europe, including Germany, and Ireland is a very pleasant part of the world, not unlike Tasmania, and in many ways familiar, due to a shared language and culture.

Read more: Ireland

Fiction, Recollections & News

The Writer

 

 

The fellow sitting beside me slammed his book closed and sat looking pensive. 

The bus was approaching Cremorne junction.  I like the M30.  It starts where I get on so I’m assured of a seat and it goes all the way to Sydenham in the inner West, past Sydney University.  Part of the trip is particularly scenic, approaching and crossing the Harbour Bridge.  We’d be in The City soon.

My fellow passenger sat there just staring blankly into space.  I was intrigued.   So I asked what he had been reading that evoked such deep thought.  He smiled broadly, aroused from his reverie.  “Oh it’s just Inferno the latest Dan Brown,” he said.   

Read more: The Writer

Opinions and Philosophy

Gaia - Climate Speculations

 

 

 

 

Our recent trip to Central Australia involved a long walk around a rock and some even longer contemplative drives.

I found myself wondering if there is more or less 'life' out here than there is in the more obviously verdant countryside to the north south east or west. For example: might microbes be more abundant here?  The flies are certainly doing well. Yet probably not.

This led me to recall James Lovelock's Gaia Hypothesis that gave we readers of New Scientist something to think about back in 1975, long before climate change was a matter of general public concern.

 

Read more: Gaia - Climate Speculations

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