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Other Climatic Concerns

 

As indicated at the outset the climate of the planet is determined by the interplay of a large number of factors. Present generation computer simulations do not take all of these factors into account and, like all encompassing economic models, have very little predictive accuracy. It is therefore possible that climate changes due to human activity might be for the better, offsetting some otherwise negative natural change.

Climate change has the potential to affect our ability to grow food through flood or drought, to destroy productive land through wind, water, ice or salt build-up and to cause increasing levels of extinction of plants and animals. Ocean warming and higher sea levels, due to expansion and ice melting, result in the inundation of coastal areas and low islands.  The opposite effects may result if the Earth becomes colder. 

Governments need to develop strategies for dealing with the effects of climate change.  Like all disaster plans these need to consider all the reasonable short and medium term contingencies but to leave longer-term considerations to future generations. 

For example if there is a reasonable expectation of higher sea levels within a few years, local planning should prohibit further development in areas subject to potential inundation. Similarly a reasonable expectation of higher levels of storm damage may require building codes to be revisited the storm proofing of emergency services and communications and that some areas of high exposure are avoided.  A large number of such contingencies (100 year floods, dam safety, bridge design and so on) could be drawn up.

Of particular concern to NSW is the impact of more or less rainfall across the State.  More consistent rain in the northern or western parts of the State could be beneficial to agriculture but if this has higher variability it could have negative impact without management.  Greater water use may increase salination and increased land degradation.  Rainfall change may require tree planting or other interventions to correct for rapid climatic change.  Conversely, if Central NSW becomes dryer water management will become even more critical.

 

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Travel

Europe 2022 - Part 1

 

 

In July and August 2022 Wendy and I travelled to Europe and to the United Kingdom (no longer in Europe - at least politically).

This, our first European trip since the Covid-19 pandemic, began in Berlin to visit my daughter Emily, her Partner Guido, and their children, Leander and Tilda, our grandchildren there.

Part 1 of this report touches on places in Germany then on a Baltic Cruise, landing in: Denmark, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Sweden and the Netherlands. Part 2 takes place in northern France; and Part 3, to come later, in England and Scotland.

Read more: Europe 2022 - Part 1

Fiction, Recollections & News

The Meaning of Death

 

 

 

 

 

 

'I was recently restored to life after being dead for several hours' 

The truth of this statement depends on the changing and surprisingly imprecise meaning of the word: 'dead'. 

Until the middle of last century a medical person may well have declared me dead.  I was definitely dead by the rules of the day.  I lacked most of the essential 'vital signs' of a living person and the technology that sustained me in their absence was not yet perfected. 

I was no longer breathing; I had no heartbeat; I was limp and unconscious; and I failed to respond to stimuli, like being cut open (as in a post mortem examination) and having my heart sliced into.  Until the middle of the 20th century the next course would have been to call an undertaker; say some comforting words then dispose of my corpse: perhaps at sea if I was travelling (that might be nice); or it in a box in the ground; or by feeding my low-ash coffin into a furnace then collect the dust to deposit or scatter somewhere.

But today we set little store by a pulse or breathing as arbiters of life.  No more listening for a heartbeat or holding a feather to the nose. Now we need to know about the state of the brain and central nervous system.  According to the BMA: '{death} is generally taken to mean the irreversible loss of capacity for consciousness combined with the irreversible loss of capacity to breathe'.  In other words, returning from death depends on the potential of our brain and central nervous system to recover from whatever trauma or disease assails us.

Read more: The Meaning of Death

Opinions and Philosophy

The Fukushima Nuclear Crisis

 

 

Japan has 55 nuclear reactors at 19 sites.  Two more are under construction and another twelve are in the advanced planning stage.  Net Generating capacity is around 50 GW providing around 30% of the country's electricity (more here).  

As a result of Japan’s largest earthquake in history on March 11 and subsequent tsunami all reactors shut down automatically as they were designed to do but cooling systems associated with two sites had been damaged. 

Three reactor sites are adjacent to the earthquake epicentre and two were in the direct path of the tsunami.  The Fukushima-Daiichi plant belonging to Tokyo Electric Power Company was particularly hard hit.  It lost all grid connections, providing electricity, and its backup power plant was seriously damaged. 

Read more: The Fukushima Nuclear Crisis

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