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Time to fix things

 

 

 

Some of the more dire outcomes of A Crude Awakening are further into the future than suggested and this provides time for technology and knowledge to provide solutions, something it often does very quickly.

If population is controlled and new technologies (like fusion and solar are developed) we may need to have no concerns for our children and grandchildren.  They will certainly see a lot of changes but then so have we.

Change is the spice of life, and in economic terms, change equals consumption and consumption equals production and that is the measure of the economy.   It is just that the means of providing the energy required will need to change.

Rather than destroying the economy, rebuilding a submerged or cyclone ravaged city or moving farming elsewhere stimulates economic activity.  On one hand some people may be financially injured but on the other hand people will be financially advantaged elsewhere and a bit of wealth, and hence power, redistribution is stimulating in itself.

Possibly some cities may be inundated, and people will continue to be upset by cyclones or drought or flood, some people may have to move off the land or onto the land or from the suburbs into high density accommodation, some people may even have to change their holiday or trip to work habits but all of these are just elements in a world of change. 

On a planet that is still geologically unstable, with a sun that varies in temperature and with planetary and galactic orbits that are not circular, and that as a consequence, is periodically visited by ice ages and temperatures much higher than at present, there can be no status quo, no lasting stability.  When the same planet is suddenly inflicted with one species that for most of its existence has not exceeded half a billion but is suddenly heading for nine billion and rapidly destroying the natural balance in the process, change will happen no matter what we do about energy. 

In conclusion, A Crude Awakening makes some very pertinent points.  In particular the world is about to change and this change is unavoidable.  But overall, the message of A Crude Awakening is just too bleak.   The main weakness though is that it fails to make the most important point strongly enough – we must first contain, and then reduce, world population.

 

 

 


Footnotes: 


 

 

[1] Source ABARE  - http://www.abareconomics.com/interactive/energy_dec06/htm/tables.htm

[2] ‘My work involved […] in winter time lighting the ‘kosi’ coke heater and trying to keep it alight, cleaning the ‘kosi’ out and putting the ash into a garden bed. In addition, when sufficient cream had been collected from the cows’ milk, I had to make the cream into butter and being allowed to only use a fork to whisk the cream. This work took hours to do and made your arm very sore.’  Senate Inquiry Into Children in Institutional Care  Submission: Mr. Ralph Doughty

[3] Source ABARE  - http://www.abareconomics.com/interactive/energy_dec06/htm/tables.htm

 

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Travel

Malaysia

 

 

In February 2011 we travelled to Malaysia.  I was surprised to see modern housing estates in substantial numbers during our first cab ride from the Airport to Kuala Lumpur.  It seemed more reminiscent of the United Arab Emirates than of the poorer Middle East or of other developing countries in SE Asia.  Our hotel was similarly well appointed.

 

Read more: Malaysia

Fiction, Recollections & News

The new James Bond

 

 

It was raining in the mountains on Easter Saturday.

We'd decided to take a couple of days break in the Blue Mountains and do some walking. But on Saturday it poured.  In the morning we walked two kilometres from Katoomba to more up-market and trendy Leura for morning coffee and got very wet.

After a train journey to Mount Victoria and back to dry out and then lunch in the Irish Pub, with a Cider and Guinness, we decided against another soaking and explored the Katoomba antique stores and bookshops instead.  In one I found and bought an unread James Bond book.  But not by the real Ian Fleming. 

Ian Fleming died in 1964 at the young age of fifty-six and I'd read all his so I knew 'Devil May Care' was new.  This one is by Sebastian Faulks, known for his novel Birdsong, 'writing as Ian Fleming' in 2008.

Read more: The new James Bond

Opinions and Philosophy

Tragedy in Norway

 

 

The extraordinary tragedy in Norway points yet again to the dangers of extremism in any religion. 

I find it hard to comprehend that anyone can hold their religious beliefs so strongly that they are driven to carefully plan then systematically kill others.  Yet it seems to happen all to often.

The Norwegian murderer, Anders Behring Breivik, reportedly quotes Sydney's Cardinal Pell, John Howard and Peter Costello in his manifesto.   Breivik apparently sees himself as a Christian Knight on a renewed Crusade to stem the influx of Muslims to Europe; and to Norway in particular.

Read more: Tragedy in Norway

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